Nashr qilingan

Nashr

Son 1 № 111 : Jamiyat va boshqaruv

Bo'lim

Maqolalar

Kategoriyalar

Kalit so‘zlar:

to‘qimachilik va tikuvchilik sanoati tashkiliy-iqtisodiy mexanizm ishlab chiqarishning real hajmi ARIMA modeli prognozlash qo‘shilgan qiymatga ega mahsulot ishlab chiqarish O‘zbekiston sanoat ishlab chiqarish samaradorligi

Annotasiya

Maqolada O‘zbekiston to‘qimachilik va tikuvchilik sanoatining rivojlanishi uning tashkiliy-iqtisodiy mexanizmi nuqtayi nazaridan ko‘rib chiqiladi hamda zamonaviy sharoitlarda uni takomillashtirishning asosiy yo‘nalishlari aniqlanadi. Tahlil 2016–2025-yillar oralig‘idagi tarmoq dinamikasini qamrab olib, ishlab chiqarish tendensiyalari, tarkibiy o‘zgarishlar hamda sanoat rivojlanishidagi o‘rni yoritiladi. Natijalar shuni ko‘rsatadiki, so‘nggi yillarda tarmoq o‘sishi asosan narx omillari hisobiga emas, balki ishlab chiqarish hajmining real kengayishi hisobiga ta’minlangan. ARIMA (0,2,1) modeli esa 2028-yilgacha ijobiy dinamikaning saqlanib qolishini ko‘rsatadi. Shu asosda maqolada chuqur qayta ishlashni rivojlantirish, modernizatsiya, eksport raqobatbardoshligini oshirish va tarmoq ichidagi muvofiqlashtirishni kuchaytirish bo‘yicha amaliy yo‘nalishlar asoslab berilgan.

Yuklashlar

Muallif biografiyasi

Golibjon Yuldashev,
Toshkent davlat iqtisodiyot universiteti

Toshkent davlat iqtisodiyot universiteti “Yashil iqtisodiyot” kafedrasi dotsenti

Qanday qilib iqtibos keltirish kerak

O‘zbekistonda to‘qimachilik sanoatining tashkiliy-iqtisodiy mexanizmini rivojlantirish (G. . Yuldashev , Trans.). (2026). Jamiyat Va Boshqaruv, 1(111), 60-75. https://journal.dsba.uz/index.php/society-management/article/view/57

Bibliografik manbalar

1. Grand View Research. (2025). Apparel market size, share & trends analysis report. https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/apparel-market-report

2. De Felice, F. (2024). Review: Circular economy practices in the textile industry. Journal of Cleaner Production. Retrieved February 2026, from

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0959652624039969

3. National Statistics Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan. (2026, January 5). Uzbekistan exported textile products worth $2.3 billion in 11 months.

https://stat.uz/uz/matbuot-markazi/qo-mita-yangiliklar/66098-zbekiston-11-ojda-2-3-mlrd-dollarlik-t-imachilik-ma-sulotlari-eksport-ilgan-2

4. Kim, Y.-J., & Park, J. (2019). A sustainable development strategy for the Uzbekistan textile industry: The results of a SWOT-AHP analysis. Sustainability, 11(17), 4613. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11174613

5. Nurimbetov, R. I., & Karimov, K. M. (2025). The role of innovation policy in advancing Uzbekistan's textile industry: Empirical evidence and strategic forecasting.

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17443774

6. Umakhodzhaeva, M. G. (2023). Value chain analysis in the textile sector of the Uzbekistan economy. International Journal of Business Diplomacy and Economy, 2(2), 45-49. https://doi.org/10.51699/ijbde.v2i2.1098

7. Movchan, V., & Walter, W. (2024, April). Export potential of Uzbekistan’s textiles and apparel on the global markets (Policy Briefing No. 01/2024). Berlin Economics.

8. Khurana, K., & Ataniyazova, Z. (2020). Insights and future forward for fashion and textile value chain in Uzbekistan. Research Journal of Textile and Apparel, 24(4), 389-408. https://doi.org/10.1108/RJTA-03-2020-0020

9. Umarova, G., Ivolga, A., Nekhaychuk, D., Pavlenko, I., & Kartavtseva, I. (2024). Assessment of investment activity management at textile industry enterprises in the Republic of Uzbekistan. In Innovations in Sustainable Agricultural Systems (Vol. 2). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-72556-2_29

10. National Statistics Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan. Producer Price Index for Industrial Goods. Stat.uz.

https://api.siat.stat.uz/media/uploads/sdmx/sdmx_data_2959.pdf

11. National Statistics Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan. Industrial Production by Type of Economic Activity. Stat.uz.

https://api.siat.stat.uz/media/uploads/sdmx/sdmx_data_604.pdf

12. Fatima, S. (2024). A review of time series forecasting algorithms with applications across industries. Machines, 12(6), Article 380.

https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1702/12/6/380

13. Compiled by the author on the basis of the developed model.

14. Estimated by the author on the basis of the developed model.

15. Nguyen, V. A., & Nguyen, D. C. (2023). The role of textile exports in Vietnam’s export turnover and economic growth: Quantitative analysis. Journal of Economics and Management Research, 4(5), 1-8.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/375084450_The_Role_of_Textile_Export_in_Vietnam%27s_Exports_and_Economic_Growth_View_from_Quantitative_Analysis

16. Ministry of Textiles, Government of India. Garment study: Employment, exports, and economic contribution of India’s textile and apparel sector. https://www.texmin.gov.in/static/uploads/2025/06/c3c612ecd86171e98ecede6559dcc85c.pdf

17. Illeez, A. A., & Güner, M. (2018). Applications of Data Envelopment Analysis in Textile Sector. International Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies and Innovative Technologies, 2(2), 72-75. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/588898

Litsenziya

Mualliflik huquqi (c) 2026 Golibjon Yuldashev (Muallif)

Creative Commons litsenziyasi

Ushbu ish Creative Commons litsenziyalari «Attribution» («Mualliflik huquqi») 4.0 Butun dunyo bo'ylab.